Robert Kiyosaki Blog

Financial Education Portal inspired by Robert Kiyosaki

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Simon Black – Cyprus STILL has “an emergency situation”. And capital controls

April 9, 2014 Santiago, Chile Imagine that your country and banking system are so broke that you have to receive approval from a special committee just to send your own money to your kids who are away at university… Crazy, right? But that’s exactly what’s going on in Cyprus. And it all happened overnight. Just over a year ago, people across Cyprus went to bed thinking everything was just fine. They woke up the next morning to a brand new reality: their government AND their banking system were flat broke. In collusion with other European powers, the Cypriot government FROZE bank accounts across the country. Suddenly an entire nation had no access to their savings. The government spent weeks bickering about whose funds they were going to confiscate in order to bail out the banks… all the while maintaining the freeze. Finally they made a decision: wealthy people would have their funds seized. But this wasn’t a victory for everyone else… because simultaneously the government announced a flurry of severe financial restrictions. Sure, people could log on to a bank website and see an account balance. But it was nothing more than a number on a screen. It didn’t mean the banks actually had the money. Nor did it mean they were free to access their own funds. Cash withdrawal limits were imposed. Funds transfers were curtailed. Cypriots were even forbidden from doing something as simple as cashing a check. Peoples’ savings were essentially trapped inside of a highly insolvent financial system. These destructive tactics are called capital controls. And one year later they’re still in place. Some are being relaxed. Others are being maintained. But by its own admission, the Ministry of Finance still believes there is a “lack of substantial liquidity and risk of deposits outflow. . . that could lead to instability of the financial system and have destabilizing consequences on the economy and society of the country as a whole.” Naturally, since this is an “emergency situation” in their view, they have to impose these “restrictive measures” in order to safeguard “public order and public security”. In other words, capital controls are for your own good. This is exactly the sort of thing that happens when governments and banking systems go bankrupt. And every shred of objective evidence suggests that many of the ‘rich’ nations of the West are in a similar position. Some of the largest banks in the US (like Citigroup) have failed their stress tests; this means they are inadequately capitalized to withstand any major financial shock. Then there’s the FDIC, which is supposed to insure deposits in the Land of the...

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Jim Rickards & Mike Maloney: Gold Revaluation & THE DEATH OF MONEY

Get Jim’s new book here: http://amzn.to/1bwpYS6 Jim Rickards has been featured in 4 out of the 5 episodes that we have released so far in the ‘Hidden Secrets Of Money’ series – and for good reason. Jim is one of the most articulate thinkers and teachers in the world when it comes to explaining what is really happening in the world of economics today, especially when it comes to gold and silver. Jim’s first book ‘Currency Wars’ was a bestseller and is highly recommended reading for anyone who wants to get an understanding of economics from ‘the inside’. As you’ll learn in this video, James G Rickards has a massive amount of experience in both the private and public sectors. Watch the video to learn why he thinks that we shouldn’t be surprised that at some point gold is quickly valued at $5000 per...

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Simon Black – This pretty much tells you everything you need to know about money and banking

December 31, 2013 Sovereign Valley Farm, Chile The other night I played my first game of Monopoly in probably 20 years. One of my friends gave me the infamous board game for Christmas, and as I’ve had a lot of guests down here over the last few days, we all thought we’d give it a go. Guess who won? Nope. Not me. And not any of my friends either. The bank won. The bank actually wins every game of Monopoly. Think about it. All of the properties are initially purchased from the bank. You mortgage them back at half the market value. Plus the bank has its own Monopoly on lending… the official rules state that only the bank can loan money to players. Most importantly, though, the bank never goes bankrupt. Ever. If the bank runs out of that Monopoly funny money, the bank can merely create more money using anything (other paper) it sees fit. Just like real life. And this tells you pretty much everything you need to know about money and banking. This pretty much tells you everything you need to know about money and...

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New NIA Option Suggestion

In 2014, NIA believes we will see precious metals and agricultural commodities make their largest gains in history. NIA’s #1 way to play next year’s agriculture boom is its stock suggestion Agria (GRO), which broke out big on Friday rising $0.10 or 7.24% to $1.48 per share. In NIA’s opinion, new 52-week highs are coming for GRO very shortly. NIA would like to take this opportunity to announce its #1 way to play next year’s rally in precious metals. NIA suggests for its members to research the January 2015 Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) $25 call option, currently priced at $1.92. GDX is a gold stock ETF with its top three holdings being GG, ABX, and NEM, three of the safest gold mining stocks. GDX is currently trading for $21.25 per share. Investors who buy the January 2015 GDX $25 call option at $1.92, will at least double their money if GDX rises by 35.7% to $28.84 per share within the next 55 weeks. If GDX itself rises by 100% to $42.50 per share over the next 55 weeks, NIA’s GDX call option suggestion will be worth $17.50 for a potential gain of 811.46%. The contract expires on January 17, 2015. GDX mostly tracks the same stocks as the HUI Amex Gold Bugs Index. To determine if gold stocks are undervalued or overvalued, NIA closely tracks the HUI/Gold ratio, which is the latest HUI price divided by the price of gold. The HUI/Gold ratio is currently down to 0.163, well below its 17 year average of 0.37. In fact, the last time the HUI/Gold ratio was this low, was all the way back in 2001 – at the very start of the current gold secular bull market. Gold’s secular bull market is far from over and NIA believes this is a once in a lifetime opportunity to make a fortune off of artificially low gold mining stocks. Although it’s true that many gold miners are losing money at this very moment, it’s already more than priced in! NIA has seen many gold miners in recent weeks take steps to reduce their expenses and focus on the production of high grade gold resources. The fundamentals of gold mining stocks are beginning to rapidly improve! In 2014, NIA believes large-cap gold mining stocks could rise 3-4X faster than the price of gold! If gold merely rises 23.5% in 2014 to $1,500 per oz, and the HUI/Gold ratio returns to its historical average of 0.37, the HUI would rise from its current level of 198.18 up to 555, for a gain of 180%. If the HUI rises 180%, GDX most likely...

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NIA: Gold’s Previous Bottoms vs. Today

Please disregard our email from Sunday evening, which stated that gold’s high of $850 per oz in 1980 is the equivalent of $5,301.24 per oz today after adjusting for growth in real U.S. money supply and above ground gold stocks. Gold’s 1980 high of $850 per oz is actually the equivalent of $7,944.83 per oz in today’s economy. Furthermore, gold’s 1976 low of $103.50 per oz is the equivalent of $1,096.12 per oz in today’s economy. Gold’s 1985 low of $285.75 per oz is the equivalent of $1,276.25 per oz in today’s economy.   The average of gold’s lows in 1976 and 1985 are the equivalent of $1,186.19 per oz in today’s economy. This is within 0.5% of gold’s June 28, 2013, low of $1,192 per oz, which gold once again dipped to last week. This could be a double bottom for gold.   During its 1971-1980 nine year bull rally, gold rose from a low of $35 in 1971 to a high of $195 in 1974 for a gain of 457.1%, followed by a dip to a low of $103.50 in 1976 for a decline of 46.8%, and then an additional gain of 721.3% to a high of $850 in 1980 – for a total gain of 2,329%. After the Fed raised interest rates to 20%, gold over the following five years lost 2/3 of its value, bottoming in 1985 at $285.75.   Mid-way through its secular bear market, when gold dipped 46.9% to a low on August 25, 1976, of $103.50 per oz: the real U.S. money supply as of August 23, 1976, was comprised of: 1) currency component of M1: $77.5 billion, 2) total checkable deposits: $219 billion, and 3) total savings deposits at all depository institutions: $185.9 billion – for a total real money supply of $482.4 billion.   Currently, the real U.S. money supply as of December, 16, 2013, is comprised of 1) currency component of M1: $1.1596 trillion, 2) total checkable deposits: $1.4828 trillion, 3) total savings deposits at all depository institutions: $7.1513 trillion – for a total real money supply of $9.7937 trillion. The real U.S. money supply has grown 20.30X in size since August 23, 1976.   According to the World Gold Council, the world’s total above ground gold stocks mined throughout history as of the end of 2012 were 174,100 tonnes, and after production from this past year – their figures will likely show total above ground gold stocks of approximately 177,000 tonnes. However, in recent days, several NIA members have contacted us with compelling evidence that the World Gold Council’s data is overstating above ground gold stocks by approximately...

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The Single Biggest Reason Most Investors LOSE Money

It’s almost never openly admitted in public, but the reality is that few if any investors actually beat the market in the long-term. The reason for this is that most of the investment strategies employed by investors (professional or amateur) simply do not make money. I know this runs counter to the claims of the entire financial services industry. But it is factually correct. In 2012, the S&P 500 roared up 16% including dividends. During that period, less than 40% of fund managers beat the market. Most investors could have simply invested in an index fund, paid less in fees, and done better. If you spread out performance over the last two years (2011 and 2012) the results are even worsen with only 10% of funds beating the market. If we stretch back even further, the results are even more dismal. For the ten years ended 1Q 2013, a mere 0.4% of mutual funds have beaten the market. 0.4%, as in less than half of one percent of funds. These are investment “professionals,” folks whose jobs depend on producing gains, who cannot beat the market for any significant period. The reason this fact is not better known is because the mutual fund industry usually closes its losing funds or merges them with other, better performing funds. As a result, the mutual fund industry in general experiences a tremendous survivor bias. But the cold hard fact what I told you earlier: less than half of one percent of fund managers outperform the market over a ten-year period. So how does one beat the market? Cigar Butts and Moats. “Cigar butts” was a term used by the father of value investing, Benjamin Graham, to describe investing in companies that trade at significant discounts to their underlying values. Graham likened these companies to old, used cigar butts that had been discarded, but which had just one more puff left in them. Like discarded cigar butts, these investments were essentially “free”: investors had discarded them based on the perception that they had no value. However, many of these cigar butts do in fact have on last puff in them. And for a shrewd investor like Benjamin Graham, that last puff was the profit potential obtained by acquiring these companies at prices below their intrinsic value (below the value of the companies assets plus cash, minus its liabilities). Graham used a lot of diversification, investing in hundreds of “cigar butts” to produce average annual gains of 20%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 12.2% per year over the same time period. So when I say that you can amass a fortune by investing in Cigar...

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Fiat Money Quantity hits new record

   QE3 is running at $ 85bn, and directly increases FMQ by double that amount, or $ 170bn, indicating that other factors contributed $ 57bn to the FMQ total. This suggests that the current rate of QE was insufficient to provide the liquidity required in money markets consistent with current interest rates, at least for the month of September. However, bond yields are still high, despite the deferral of tapering, as shown in the second chart, which is of the US Treasury 10-year note yield. Since 30th October the Treasury 10-year note yield has increased from 2.5% to 2.75%. During that time it has been more widely acknowledged that tapering has been deferred for the foreseeable future. This being the case, the rise in yield indicates that underlying tightness in bond markets has returned after a brief pause, despite the Fed’s bond purchases and the liquidity this provides. Therefore, QE3 may need to be supplemented by other measures if interest rates and bond yields are to be maintained at current levels. Note: the methodology and construction of FMQ was published by GoldMoney. Fiat Money Quantity hits new...

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Anglo Far East – Flying by Sight Versus Instruments

Flying by Sight Versus Instruments “VFR”Visual Flight rules “IFR” Instrument Flight Rules As sponsor of a GATA presentation in Auckland by the chairman- Chris Powell over the weekend, I had the pleasure of spending time and picking his brain on many subjects. High on the list was the current correction in gold and its seeming long and sustained period of flat or lower prices. There are many measures to gauge the market but one of the best is outright sentiment and he said that for every 100 people that would have had contact with him in times past, the number is more like 20 now. If I take that same sentiment gauge and cross it over to the exploration/ junior mining sector and even the mid-tier and senior one you get a really sad story. Here is what a professional capitulation looks like from a seasoned mining writer that makes his living selling information 1/ convince me that the resource sector recovery expected this fall is no longer valid. Even the strongest companies are now weakening again and I think this is a strong indica­tion that our market troubles will continue well into next year. This unfortunate chain of events leads me to believe that we should not be buying any junior mining stocks right now. 2/ Many of us, including myself, beefed up positions in companies like “%$” thinking this would be the start of getting our portfolios back on track. It hasn’t happened and I have never felt more discouraged about anything I have dealt with in my entire life. It has felt like an emotional earthquake to my soul. 3/ Even during the 2008 meltdown situation, I felt more composed and confident because I knew we would rebound, which we did within a relatively short-period of time. But this current market situa­tion has gone from bad, to worse, to intolerable with further downside very likely. 4/ I even wrote many times in the last several years that before the screaming, parabolic market in our favour would happen we may have to deal with downside volatility that would shake us to the core. But what we are experiencing now is beyond even what I thought could happen. This is a wipe-out that will basically eliminate at least another 35% of the junior mining companies that are currently still in business. This is after those who have already shut their doors. Many more are hanging by their fingernails right now. I thought by moving towards those companies with the best assets or near-term production stories that we would protect ourselves until the dust you spoke about settled. I...

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Silver & Gold – Hidden Secrets Of Money 4 – The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind (In 7 Easy Steps)

You are about to learn one of the biggest secrets in the history of the world…it’s a secret that has huge effects for everyone who lives on this planet. Most people can feel deep down that something isn’t quite right with the world economy, but few know what it is. Gone are the days where a family can survive on just one paycheck…every day it seems that things are more and more out of control, yet only one in a million understand why. You are about to discover the system that is ultimately responsible for most of the inequality in our world today. The powers that be DO NOT want you to know about this, as this system is what has kept them at the top of the financial food-chain for the last 100 years… Learning this will change your life, because it will change the choices that you make. If enough people learn it, it will change the world…because it will change the system . For this is the biggest Hidden Secret Of Money. Never in human history have so many been plundered by so few, and it’s all accomplished through this…The Biggest Scam In The History Of...

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Silver & Gold – Hidden Secrets Of Money 3 – From Dollar Crisis To Golden Opportunity

Welcome to the third Episode of Michael Maloney’s Hidden Secrets of Money. Mike was asked to speak at an event in Singapore and to give his opinion on the future for the U.S. Dollar. His presentation was titled ‘Death Of The Dollar Standard’ and showed very clearly that the Dollar Standard is developing serious cracks, and will likely split at the seams during this decade. How will this affect you? It’s not all doom and gloom, as you’ll learn from watching the video...

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