Mike Maloney is the author of the world’s best selling book on precious metals investing. Since 2003 he has been advocating gold and silver as the ultimate means of protecting wealth from the games played by our governments and banking sector. In this 90 minute presentation he lays down his ‘most likely’ scenario for the global economy over the next deacde…short term deflation, followed by big or even hyperinflation. Here you will learn the true definitions of inflation/deflation, the difference between currency and money, price vs value, ‘Wealth Cycles’, gold and silver accounting for the expansion of fiat currency, gold and silver supply and demand, the differences between the today’s bull market and that of the 1970s, The Debt Collapse, and more.
If you would like to know more check out Mike’s website http://www.GoldSilver.com
Mike sends out a free weekly newsletter from each of the above sites each with valuable information on the economy and gold & silver, see you there.
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Investing in Gold & Silver During Inflation, Stagflation and Deflation?
By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster – Global Watch
In this piece we are looking at some critical fundamental features of precious metals that are rarely considered or accepted in the developed world markets. Expert investors like Warren Buffet look at inactive, buried gold with amazement, because he is focused on companies that produce things and earn money. And most of us wish we had his skill and money behind us.
George Soros and the like invested in gold as an anti-deflationary measure. Most analysts appreciate the anti-inflationary value of gold and silver. The protection of gold and silver in stagflationary environments are a combination of both abilities.
But why are gold and silver capable of giving such protection in bad times as well as good times?
They have certain qualities that shine forward at times when other investments fail.
The Limitations of Cash
In times of monetary stability and soundness, safely-stored cash never fails. Most consider cash in the bank to be the safest conservative investment, and in the distant past, the days of our grandfathers, this was largely true.
But that horrible word, inflation, came into being where prices kept on rising and cash saved would buy less-and-less. Interest rates compensated for this inflation, but then interest rates stopped rising. When interest rates did rise, it was at a slower pace than inflation. Cash lost its buying power as time went by. Bank charges would eat away any gains that might be made. At first inflation would occur one country at a time, and the exchange rate on those currencies fell, hurting international buying power even more. Today inflation is a global phenomenon.
Investors would have to move out of cash and into businesses or other investments that offset the cost of inflation. This was not easy unless inflation happened while growth was vibrant. And this benefitted those middle classes that enjoyed such growth. The poor, whose income rises slower than inflation, feel the pinch.
Suddenly, booms turn into busts and businesses don’t do well. The value of businesses and its shares fall, losing investors money. Even self-managed businesses fall in value, putting rich people into bankruptcy. This is deflation, a monetary mood that causes values to shrink. In deflation the value of cash grows as prices fall.
Those who believe they are skilled investors answer, sell, then cheaply buy back. We look at that timeless story of an investor who did that just before the Wall Street Crash. His friend did not do so well selling only when the fall was half way down. But our hero who sold at the top, overwhelmed by his own skill bought back in, when the fall was half way down. His friend did not buy back in, but stayed in cash. It’s not so easy!
Then you get a situation when the bust happened and all of the markets plummet because forced selling drives investors out. Interest rates fall to negative levels. If cycles are consistent, there should have followed a boom period. But growth was so anemic that stagnation set in. Businesses and the economy struggle to find small amounts of growth and some cut back, turning over at survival level.
Suddenly, something that shouldn’t happen in a downturn happened. It was inflation, driven by factors no government can control. It came from energy and food and became uncontrollable. This type of inflation is deflationary. Businesses covering expenses suddenly found their costs ate away at profits much the same as deflation and inflation would have done. This is ‘stagflation’, a climate where stress levels steadily eat away at sanity.
Surely bills and bonds are a way out of the hole, as they pay an interest rate, while being almost like cash?
The trouble with this thinking is that interest rates have fallen so low that the bill and bond markets are so high as to be heading for a fall, far worse than any Wall Street Crash.
Next interest rates rise to stop negative interest rates from rising higher. Then the prices of fixed interest securities have to fall, while their yield rises. Investors rush to exit those markets the moment that happens.
Surely there is no escape from these three economic ailments?
Well, there is….
For a long time, our Asian friends have suffered through poverty, hard times, government corruption and mismanagement. They have found refuge in good times and bad times. They want financial security and their investments to last for more than one generation. Correctly invested, their savings provide financial security for many generations.
You would have thought that Europe in particular would have learned the same lessons with their history of currency collapses and wars.
Why Precious Metals?
Gold (and to a lesser extent, silver) is more than a barbarous relic from yesteryear. Its rising price is telling us that it is a very modern investment preference because
It is both cash and an asset.
In the long term, it outperforms cash because of these qualities…
v It has all the features that makes cash valuable, even capable of earning an income(when lent out).
v It is an enhanced version of cash, in that it is not subject to the vagaries of interest rates solely dictated by central banks and banks.
v It carries no national obligations. It does not rely on nations to supply collateral to honor payment. If you ask the Fed to honor the value of your dollar, they will simply exchange it for another.
v It is not dependant on the creditworthiness of the nation issuing money.
v It has the same value in Mongolia as it has in the U.S. or Europe.
v It is collateral in any transaction and of greater value than the price it can be exchanged at.
v It cannot be issued at will, with the intention of being withdrawn from the system later.
v It does not decline when an individual currency declines (and does not rise when that currency rises in value). It is a ‘counter to currencies’.
v This century it has moved away from the control of the U.S. and Europe to global control. In the years to come, rising Asian demand will dwarf demand from the developed world, making it a fully internationally-valued asset again.
v In a deflating global economy (just as cash is a national protection) gold is better than cash even when local currencies are not deflating.
v In an inflating global economy, gold acts as an asset, when currencies are cheapening. There are no other currencies that are deemed as assets, like gold.
v In a stagflationary economic environment, gold acts both as cash and an asset.
Get started with a Gold and Silver savings plan
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Bad News For The Fed and IRS
This month, Utah became the first state in the country to legalize gold and silver coins as currency.
So what does this mean to you, me, the Fed, IRS, and the world? To understand the significance of Utah’s actions, you need to understand the definition of the word “currency.”
As strange as it may seem, governments determine what they think money is. For most of us, money or currency is the paper in our wallets. It only has value because governments have the power to declare paper to be money.
In 1933, President Franklin Roosevelt made owning gold illegal. The president declared that money now was paper. The key to this scheme working, is the government only accepts its own “paper” as money. You cannot pay your taxes with gold or silver…only official government paper.
To make sure we only used “paper” the government imposed a very high capital gains tax of 28% on gold and silver. That means, if you bought gold or silver for let’s say $10 and it increased in value by $10, the government would tax you $2.80 for your gains, even if you held the gold or silver for several years.
A 28% tax is nearly 100% higher than long-term capital gains tax of 15% in the US. For example, if I bought a stock for $10, held it for a year, and sold it for $20, my tax would be $1.50 on my gains.
One reason why I like real estate, better than paper assets or gold and silver, is I can be taxed 0% on my gains. In fact, if I use the tax laws correctly, I receive money back from the government. In other words, rather than be taxed for $10 gains, I often receive additional money, a payment from the government rewarding me for making money. For example, not only do I receive my $10 gain, I receive an additional $2 from the government for doing what the government wants me to do.
Please read my latest book Unfair Advantage – The Power of Financial Education to better understand how entrepreneurs and real estate investors use the tax law to receive payments from the government. In this book, my tax accountant and Rich Dad Advisor, Tom Wheelwright does a better job of explaining this tax strategy.
He explains that real estate is one of the few investments where not only can you legally escape tax on your gains and your cash flow (rents), you can actually receive tax deductions against your other taxable income. So if you have $10 of cash flow from your rental property, the IRS actually gives you a special deduction, called depreciation, that could produce a tax benefit of $2 or more so your total cash flow is $12.
Summarizing the trade, the gold and silver investors pay $2.80 in tax for a $10 gain, netting $7.20. Long-term stock investors pay $1.50, 15% in tax for a $10 gain netting $8.50. And real estate investors might pay $0 for a $10 gain. Then they may receive a $2.00 bonus from the government for doing what the government wants done, netting $12 for a $10 gain. This is why I love the business of real estate.
Oil has similar returns as real estate, but not as good as real estate. When I invest in oil, I receive a 28% tax break from day one. That means, I pay 28% less in taxes. Lets say I invest $10,000 in an oil well. If my tax bill for the year is $10,000, I receive a $2,800 tax break and pay only $7,200 because I invested in oil. When the oil comes in and I start to sell and earn $100 income, the government allows me to pay tax on only $85.00, a 15% tax break, of the $100 income. In other words, they discount my income, before taxing it.
You can see that I receive two tax breaks. I receive one tax break for investing in oil production and I receive a tax break when we get paid for our production.
Workers in the E and S quadrant are taxed on 100% of their income. No discounts. This is why lesson #1 in Rich Dad Poor Dad is “The Rich Don’t Work For Money.” The rich do not invest in 401ks filled with mutual funds either. Why? No tax breaks…but that is another story.
BACK TO GOLD AND SILVER
The reason Utah’s actions are significant is because Utah is taking on the Federal Reserve Bank, IRS, and Washington, D.C.
The Utah state government is bypassing the Fed and the Treasury by accepting gold and silver as money, for example, allowing taxpayers to pay their taxes in gold and silver.
Let me explain further. Let’s say I bought gold in the year 2000 for $300 an ounce. In 2011, with gold at $1500 an ounce, if gold is now treated as money instead of being treated as an investment, I do not have to pay that 28% capital gains tax to the US Treasury.
In this example, of $300 per ounce to $1500 per ounce, a gain of $1200, I do not need to pay 28% of $1200, or $336 per ounce, in taxes to the US Treasury. On 1000 ounces, using the same buy and sell numbers, that is a savings of $336,000 in taxes, or $336,000 staying in my pocket for me to use. Thank you Utah. Tom Wheelwright adds that the change by Utah does not mean that gold will now be treated as money by the Federal government. It should mean that Utah will not tax it when used as money. It will be years before the courts decide whether this change means a change in how gold and silver are taxed.
Not only does this challenge the Fed, IRS, and the US government, it makes gold and silver more valuable. Using gold and silver as money, rather than a taxable investment like stocks, bonds, and real estate, makes gold and silver more desirable, at least in Utah.
One reason there is such a high tax, 28% on gold and silver is simply because the Fed and the tax department do not want us to hold gold and silver. By holding gold and silver, we pull their phony dollars out circulation and mock their corrupt system of counterfeit money.
Utah is truly a story of David taking on Goliath. Minnesota followed Utah later this month, taking a step closer to make gold and silver legal money. North Carolina, Idaho, and at least nine other states have similar bills being drafted. A Republican lawmaker has introduced a bill in Congress to explore the option for the entire US.
If the 28% tax on gold and silver is repealed, you may see a massive rush to own more gold and silver. Repealing the 28% tax is like a 28% increase in value. More importantly, it means 28% more money for those who have been following COR.
In many ways, history is only repeating itself. After all, gold and silver, especially silver, has been real money for thousands of years.
Thank you for supporting COR.
Robert Kiyosaki
PS: I thank the people and state of Utah for taking the first step to dismantle the conspiracy of the rich. This is big.
Original Source – Conspiracy of the Rich
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This is the full version of the movie, which features extra parts not yet seen on YouTube: Currency creation, the Federal Reserve, fractional reserve banking, how central banks steal our wealth, runaway deficits, the second wave of mortgage resets, Mike’s prediction of short term deflation THEN hyperinflation, New Media, Ron Paul, and the Constitution.
It was fascinating to watch the film again and see how things have moved on since it was filmed in June of 2009. Gold was $950. Silver was $15. The Gold/Silver ratio was 65. You could pick up a monster box of eagles for a cool $8000.
Though the prices and ratios have moved on, the film is entirely relevant and still one of the best ways for a newcomer to get up to speed with gold and silver. It is jam packed with information and calm analysis by the top experts in their field, who have been right since the start of the last decade. If you have a friend or family member who wants to know about metals but you can’t find the time to help them understand, or if there is someone you want to help but they just won’t listen, or even if you just want to say ‘Haha! Told you so!’….do them a favour and send them the link to this movie. Embed it on Facebook. Tweet it. The lot…
At least they won’t be able to say ‘Why didn’t you warn me?’ as they ask you for a loan!
“You know, we’re in this period where governments are abusing their currencies worldwide, and gold and silver are going to account for all of this. And like I say, there are these brief moments throughout history where the investment with the single greatest potential gains in purchasing power, is also the safest place that you can put your wealth, for the past 5000 years! And I’m not going to let that pass me up, let me tell you!”
Thank you Mike Maloney, neither are we.
Contents of the film:
-Currency Vs Money
-United States M3 expansion
-Fiat Currency and how it is created
-The Federal Reserve is neither federal nor has reserves
-Fractional reserve banking
-How central banks steal wealth from the people
-The second wave of mortgage resets
-Out of control deficits
-Gold always accounts for an expanding fiat currency supply
-Gold and silver above ground supplies
-Differences between the 70s bull market and now
-Silver as an industrial metal
-Gold/Silver ratio and the Price Discovery Mechanism
-Growing awareness and New Media
-Ron Paul and the Constitution
-Price suppression via metals leasing
-GATA
-Fraudulent gold accounting by the US government and the change made in May of 2007
-Price manipulation via ETFs, includes sections of the SLV prospectus
-The privacy of physical precious metals
-Real Estate vs gold and silver – less than 500oz silver to buy a home?
-Dow vs gold and silver
-Why investment advisors won’t recommend gold and why 10% of your portfolio in metals is ridiculous
-Cycles
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College education is the largest scam in U.S. history!
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